Now that we’re headed towards the next big election, we wanted to get a better sense of what parts of Hawaii would be the most likely to back Donald Trump again.
Specifically, which cities have the highest number of conservative voters in the Aloha State?
To do so, we used Saturday Night Science to measure how each city in Hawaii with populations greater than 2,000 voted in past elections. The cities with the highest percentage of voters who voted Republican were named the most conservative cities in the state.
Table Of Contents: Top Ten | Methodology | Summary | Table
The 10 most conservative places in Hawaii for 2024
If you’re wondering, Kealakekua is the most liberal city in Hawaii of all those we measured.
And to be clear, we didn’t form this list based on our own biases — we relied on the cold hard data. For more on how we ran the numbers, keep on reading. Then we’ll take a closer look at each of our top 10 most conservative cities in Hawaii.
Additional reading about Hawaii and the most conservative places in the country:
The 10 Most Conservative Places In Hawaii For 2024
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Percent Republican: 35.7%
More on Hickam Housing: Data | Cost Of Living | Real Estate
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Percent Republican: 35.7%
More on Waipio Acres: Data | Cost Of Living | Real Estate
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Percent Republican: 35.7%
More on Mililani Mauka: Data | Cost Of Living | Real Estate
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Percent Republican: 35.7%
More on Waianae: Data | Cost Of Living | Real Estate
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Percent Republican: 35.7%
More on Kahuku: Real Estate
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Percent Republican: 35.7%
More on Maili: Data | Cost Of Living | Real Estate
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Percent Republican: 35.7%
More on Pearl City: Data | Cost Of Living | Real Estate
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Percent Republican: 35.7%
More on Iroquois Point: Data | Real Estate
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Percent Republican: 35.7%
More on Waipahu: Data | Cost Of Living | Real Estate
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Percent Republican: 35.7%
More on West Loch Estate: Data | Cost Of Living | Real Estate
How we determined the most conservative cities in Hawaii for 2024
To find the most conservative places in Hawaii, we used Saturday Night Science – the argument you’d make at a bar – to find the cities with the most conservatives.
We started by making a list of every city in Hawaii over 2,000 people based on the 2018-2022 American Community Survey. That left us with 95 cities and towns.
We then measured the voting record and MIT election data to determine which places rock the most rightward in their allegiances by:
- Percentage Of Votes For The Republican President In 2020
Because no voting data exists at the city level, we used county-level election results from the 2020 election. We assigned every city in a county the percentage of votes that went to the Republicans, effectively extending the county’s results to the city level. In cases where larger cities encompassed an entire county, the election outcomes accurately reflected the city’s political landscape.
Next, we ranked each city from 1 to 95 for each criterion, where number one was the most conservative.
The winner, Hickam Housing, is “The Most Conservative City in Hawaii For 2024”. The most liberal place in Hawaii was Kealakekua.
We updated this article for 2024. This report is our tenth time ranking the most conservative places to live in Hawaii.
Summing Up The Conservative Strongholds in Hawaii
Well, there you have it, the places in Hawaii that have the highest number of conservatives per capita, with Hickam Housing ranking as the most conservative in the entire state.
The most conservative cities in Hawaii are Hickam Housing, Waipio Acres, Mililani Mauka, Waianae, Kahuku, Maili, Pearl City, Iroquois Point, Waipahu, and West Loch Estate.
If you’re curious, here are the least conservative cities in Hawaii:
- Kealakekua
- Hawaiian Beaches
- Waikoloa Village
For more Hawaii reading, check out:
- Best Places To Live In Hawaii
- Cheapest Places To Live In Hawaii
- Richest Cities In Hawaii
- Worst Places To Live In Hawaii
- Most Expensive Places To Live In Hawaii
Most Conservative Places In Hawaii
Rank | City | Population | % Conservative |
---|---|---|---|
1 | Hickam Housing, HI | 9,502 | 35.7% |
2 | Waipio Acres, HI | 5,393 | 35.7% |
3 | Mililani Mauka, HI | 21,546 | 35.7% |
4 | Waianae, HI | 13,749 | 35.7% |
5 | Kahuku, HI | 2,274 | 35.7% |
6 | Maili, HI | 12,114 | 35.7% |
7 | Pearl City, HI | 46,812 | 35.7% |
8 | Iroquois Point, HI | 5,921 | 35.7% |
9 | Waipahu, HI | 39,873 | 35.7% |
10 | West Loch Estate, HI | 6,469 | 35.7% |
11 | Heeia, HI | 4,786 | 35.7% |
12 | Haleiwa, HI | 4,708 | 35.7% |
13 | Wahiawa, HI | 17,400 | 35.7% |
14 | Kahaluu, HI | 5,065 | 35.7% |
15 | Laie, HI | 5,411 | 35.7% |
16 | Schofield Barracks, HI | 18,133 | 35.7% |
17 | Wheeler Afb, HI | 2,219 | 35.7% |
18 | Waikele, HI | 7,551 | 35.7% |
19 | Waialua, HI | 3,053 | 35.7% |
20 | Pupukea, HI | 5,130 | 35.7% |
21 | Waimanalo Beach, HI | 4,475 | 35.7% |
22 | Halawa, HI | 14,411 | 35.7% |
23 | Kapolei, HI | 22,701 | 35.7% |
24 | Kaneohe, HI | 35,493 | 35.7% |
25 | Waimalu, HI | 13,932 | 35.7% |
26 | East Honolulu, HI | 49,491 | 35.7% |
27 | Makakilo, HI | 21,055 | 35.7% |
28 | Ewa Villages, HI | 6,550 | 35.7% |
29 | Mililani Town, HI | 27,423 | 35.7% |
30 | Urban Honolulu, HI | 348,547 | 35.7% |
31 | Ewa Gentry, HI | 27,198 | 35.7% |
32 | Hauula, HI | 3,593 | 35.7% |
33 | Whitmore Village, HI | 3,909 | 35.7% |
34 | Ocean Pointe, HI | 16,173 | 35.7% |
35 | Waimanalo, HI | 5,743 | 35.7% |
36 | Maunawili, HI | 2,067 | 35.7% |
37 | Makaha, HI | 10,042 | 35.7% |
38 | Kailua Cdp (Honolulu County), HI | 40,323 | 35.7% |
39 | Waipio, HI | 11,138 | 35.7% |
40 | Royal Kunia, HI | 13,919 | 35.7% |
41 | Kalaeloa, HI | 2,971 | 35.7% |
42 | Ahuimanu, HI | 9,177 | 35.7% |
43 | Nanakuli, HI | 12,370 | 35.7% |
44 | Aiea, HI | 9,571 | 35.7% |
45 | Ewa Beach, HI | 15,167 | 35.7% |
46 | Wailua, HI | 2,438 | 34.6% |
47 | Eleele, HI | 2,255 | 34.6% |
48 | Anahola, HI | 2,853 | 34.6% |
49 | Kalaheo, HI | 4,651 | 34.6% |
50 | Wailua Homesteads, HI | 7,189 | 34.6% |
51 | Princeville, HI | 2,007 | 34.6% |
52 | Kapaa, HI | 10,846 | 34.6% |
53 | Kilauea, HI | 3,386 | 34.6% |
54 | Hanapepe, HI | 2,242 | 34.6% |
55 | Puhi, HI | 3,961 | 34.6% |
56 | Lawai, HI | 2,902 | 34.6% |
57 | Hanamaulu, HI | 4,628 | 34.6% |
58 | Kekaha, HI | 3,149 | 34.6% |
59 | Koloa, HI | 2,281 | 34.6% |
60 | Lihue, HI | 8,649 | 34.6% |
61 | Napili-Honokowai, HI | 6,779 | 31.1% |
62 | Makawao, HI | 7,704 | 31.1% |
63 | Lanai City, HI | 3,174 | 31.1% |
64 | Paia, HI | 2,211 | 31.1% |
65 | Kaunakakai, HI | 3,553 | 31.1% |
66 | Kihei, HI | 22,247 | 31.1% |
67 | Kula, HI | 6,578 | 31.1% |
68 | Waihee-Waiehu, HI | 11,029 | 31.1% |
69 | Haiku-Pauwela, HI | 9,245 | 31.1% |
70 | Kualapuu, HI | 2,157 | 31.1% |
71 | Wailea, HI | 6,517 | 31.1% |
72 | Lahaina, HI | 12,906 | 31.1% |
73 | Wailuku, HI | 16,590 | 31.1% |
74 | Pukalani, HI | 7,930 | 31.1% |
75 | Kahului, HI | 27,233 | 31.1% |
76 | Waikapu, HI | 3,887 | 31.1% |
77 | Keokea, HI | 2,872 | 31.1% |
78 | Honaunau-Napoopoo, HI | 2,764 | 30.6% |
79 | Hilo, HI | 47,627 | 30.6% |
80 | Kurtistown, HI | 2,896 | 30.6% |
81 | Holualoa, HI | 3,083 | 30.6% |
82 | Captain Cook, HI | 4,135 | 30.6% |
83 | Hawaiian Ocean View, HI | 3,587 | 30.6% |
84 | Kahaluu-Keauhou, HI | 7,001 | 30.6% |
85 | Hawaiian Acres, HI | 3,484 | 30.6% |
86 | Hawaiian Paradise Park, HI | 13,041 | 30.6% |
87 | Mountain View, HI | 3,627 | 30.6% |
88 | Ainaloa, HI | 3,832 | 30.6% |
89 | Orchidlands Estates, HI | 2,400 | 30.6% |
90 | Kailua Cdp (Hawaii County), HI | 21,449 | 30.6% |
91 | Waimea Cdp (Hawaii County), HI | 10,458 | 30.6% |
92 | Honokaa, HI | 2,290 | 30.6% |
93 | Waikoloa Village, HI | 7,418 | 30.6% |
94 | Hawaiian Beaches, HI | 3,879 | 30.6% |
95 | Kealakekua, HI | 2,188 | 30.6% |