Now that we’re headed towards the next big election, we wanted to get a better sense of what parts of Vermont would be the most likely to back Donald Trump again.
Specifically, which cities have the highest number of conservative voters in the Green Mountain State?
To do so, we used Saturday Night Science to measure how each city in Vermont with populations greater than 2,000 voted in past elections. The cities with the highest percentage of voters who voted Republican were named the most conservative cities in the state.
Table Of Contents: Top Ten | Methodology | Summary | Table
The 10 most conservative places in Vermont for 2024
- Newport
- St. Albans
- Swanton
- West Rutland)
- Rutland
- Fair Haven)
- St. Johnsbury
- Randolph)
- Bennington
- Vergennes
If you’re wondering, Essex Junction is the most liberal city in Vermont of all those we measured.
And to be clear, we didn’t form this list based on our own biases — we relied on the cold hard data. For more on how we ran the numbers, keep on reading. Then we’ll take a closer look at each of our top 10 most conservative cities in Vermont.
Additional reading about Vermont and the most conservative places in the country:
The 10 Most Conservative Places In Vermont For 2024
/10
Percent Republican: 43.2%
More on St. Albans: Data | Crime | Cost Of Living | Real Estate
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Percent Republican: 42.1%
More on West Rutland: Real Estate
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Percent Republican: 42.1%
More on Rutland: Data | Crime | Cost Of Living | Real Estate
/10
Percent Republican: 42.1%
More on Fair Haven: Crime | Real Estate
/10
Percent Republican: 39.1%
More on St. Johnsbury: Data | Crime | Cost Of Living | Real Estate
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Percent Republican: 38.9%
More on Randolph: Real Estate
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Percent Republican: 34.7%
More on Bennington: Data | Crime | Cost Of Living | Real Estate
How we determined the most conservative cities in Vermont for 2024
To find the most conservative places in Vermont, we used Saturday Night Science – the argument you’d make at a bar – to find the cities with the most conservatives.
We started by making a list of every city in Vermont over 2,000 people based on the 2018-2022 American Community Survey. That left us with 27 cities and towns.
We then measured the voting record and MIT election data to determine which places rock the most rightward in their allegiances by:
- Percentage Of Votes For The Republican President In 2020
Because no voting data exists at the city level, we used county-level election results from the 2020 election. We assigned every city in a county the percentage of votes that went to the Republicans, effectively extending the county’s results to the city level. In cases where larger cities encompassed an entire county, the election outcomes accurately reflected the city’s political landscape.
Next, we ranked each city from 1 to 27 for each criterion, where number one was the most conservative.
The winner, Newport, is “The Most Conservative City in Vermont For 2024”. The most liberal place in Vermont was Essex Junction.
We updated this article for 2024. This report is our tenth time ranking the most conservative places to live in Vermont.
Summing Up The Conservative Strongholds in Vermont
Well, there you have it, the places in Vermont that have the highest number of conservatives per capita, with Newport ranking as the most conservative in the entire state.
The most conservative cities in Vermont are Newport, St. Albans, Swanton, West Rutland, Rutland, Fair Haven, St. Johnsbury, Randolph, Bennington, and Vergennes.
If you’re curious, here are the least conservative cities in Vermont:
- Essex Junction
- Winooski
- Shelburne
For more Vermont reading, check out:
- Best Places To Live In Vermont
- Cheapest Places To Live In Vermont
- Most Dangerous Cities In Vermont
- Richest Cities In Vermont
- Safest Places In Vermont
- Worst Places To Live In Vermont
- Most Expensive Places To Live In Vermont
Most Conservative Places In Vermont
| Rank | City | Population | % Conservative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newport, VT | 4,431 | 45.9% |
| 2 | St. Albans, VT | 6,891 | 43.2% |
| 3 | Swanton, VT | 2,428 | 43.2% |
| 4 | West Rutland, VT | 2,222 | 42.1% |
| 5 | Rutland, VT | 15,819 | 42.1% |
| 6 | Fair Haven, VT | 2,422 | 42.1% |
| 7 | St. Johnsbury, VT | 5,963 | 39.1% |
| 8 | Randolph, VT | 2,010 | 38.9% |
| 9 | Bennington, VT | 8,753 | 34.7% |
| 10 | Vergennes, VT | 2,561 | 29.0% |
| 11 | Middlebury, VT | 6,913 | 29.0% |
| 12 | Springfield, VT | 3,946 | 27.9% |
| 13 | Wilder, VT | 3,634 | 27.9% |
| 14 | White River Junction, VT | 2,766 | 27.9% |
| 15 | Windsor, VT | 2,138 | 27.9% |
| 16 | Morrisville, VT | 2,576 | 26.6% |
| 17 | Bellows Falls, VT | 2,824 | 25.5% |
| 18 | Brattleboro, VT | 7,543 | 25.5% |
| 19 | West Brattleboro, VT | 2,817 | 25.5% |
| 20 | Barre, VT | 8,488 | 24.6% |
| 21 | Montpelier, VT | 8,030 | 24.6% |
| 22 | South Burlington, VT | 20,241 | 20.8% |
| 23 | Burlington, VT | 44,646 | 20.8% |
| 24 | Milton, VT | 3,712 | 20.8% |
| 25 | Shelburne, VT | 6,195 | 20.8% |
| 26 | Winooski, VT | 8,122 | 20.8% |
| 27 | Essex Junction, VT | 10,646 | 20.8% |